Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QQQ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-18 519.176136 551.998854 586.098148 624.228004 665.746552 709.663438 759.732330
2026-01-25 478.102090 523.401022 572.343128 629.363057 694.235550 766.058566 852.024426
2026-02-01 452.535721 505.492496 564.289074 634.808701 717.617669 812.423871 930.117943
2026-02-08 433.538023 492.363496 559.166607 641.266152 740.302852 857.019320 1006.637687
2026-02-15 415.028244 477.924916 550.720788 642.060701 754.827925 891.127037 1070.885185
2026-02-22 399.137084 465.265024 543.095725 642.577381 767.989915 923.106963 1133.128739
2026-03-01 386.568005 455.663842 538.249798 645.634337 783.680559 958.182557 1200.465491
2026-03-08 373.393242 444.496828 530.653342 644.413513 793.260161 985.190858 1257.929827
2026-03-15 362.484741 435.514345 525.149673 645.235530 805.028034 1015.054115 1320.330796
2026-03-22 352.166635 426.732900 519.348624 645.117112 815.136677 1042.688897 1380.669987
2026-03-29 342.953282 418.908256 514.312991 645.544069 825.650498 1070.951600 1443.055993
2026-04-05 335.796696 413.386880 511.922842 649.189249 840.428680 1105.489879 1516.234712
2026-04-12 327.712237 406.370929 507.290495 649.554126 850.579182 1133.871502 1581.939609
2026-04-19 322.095537 402.355853 506.407256 654.876458 867.750264 1172.961674 1666.168221
2026-04-26 317.021058 398.830886 505.961337 660.635114 885.585983 1213.641904 1755.205878
2026-05-03 312.647683 396.051992 506.347177 667.444027 905.060282 1257.508993 1851.991464
2026-05-10 306.429844 390.537085 502.727819 668.282653 915.560968 1287.967273 1928.489195
2026-05-17 300.460947 385.154466 499.066318 668.827656 925.489131 1317.802126 2005.633123
2026-05-24 295.707632 381.281484 497.344265 672.052776 939.492401 1354.562568 2096.930129
2026-05-31 289.729552 375.514200 492.731677 670.764763 946.348618 1379.998657 2169.819446
2026-06-07 284.730285 370.963197 489.680131 671.632014 956.495362 1411.124624 2254.849328
2026-06-14 279.659828 366.159684 486.094481 671.507079 964.959864 1439.718597 2337.034932
2026-06-21 274.994869 361.796449 482.993025 671.957537 974.267962 1470.040008 2424.430336